Suzhou Electric Appliance Research Institute
期刊号: CN32-1800/TM| ISSN1007-3175

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灰色理论在企业试验变电站负荷管理中的应用

来源:电工电气发布时间:2016-03-14 11:14 浏览次数:7

灰色理论在企业试验变电站负荷管理中的应用 

杨祥 
(苏州西门子电器有限公司,江苏 苏州 215129) 
 

摘 要: 根据企业变电站同比一定时期内的负荷用电量统计,运用灰色理论对其建立基于改进残差灰色模型和等维新息灰色模型的灰色组合预测模型,利用模型预测出来的结果对企业变电站的用电负荷进行有效管理与控制。实例证明,运用灰色理论模型可实现精确到月度的变电站中短期用电负荷预测,对企业用户和电力管理部门进行负荷管理、调度和控制具有重要意义。
关键词: 灰色理论;变电站;组合预测;负荷管理
中图分类号:TM63 文献标识码:A 文章编号:1007-3175(2015)03-0041-03


Application of Grey Theory in Load Management of Enterprise Test Transformer Substation 

YANG Xiang 
(Siemens Electrical Apparatus Ltd, Suzhou 215129, China) 
 

Abstract: According to the load power consumption statistics of enterprise substation on year-on-year basis, the combined grey forecasting model was set up based on the optimized residual error grey model and equal dimension and new information grey model. The predictable result of the combined grey model could be applied to carry out effective management and control for the power consumption of enterprise substation. The example proves that the medium-term and short-term load forecasting of substation is accurated to month by adopting the grey model, which makes great significance to the load management, dispatch and control for enterprise customers and electric power administrative department.
Key words: grey theory; substation; combined forecasting; load management


参考文献
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